ELCI · Spending Engine

Spending Engine

The planner in the loop. As every simulated life unfolds, it decides what gets spent each month: protecting what you called essential, adapting the rest, and keeping the books on taxes, benefits, and care.

You set the floor

Every plan starts with your split: the essentials that must be funded in every future, and the discretionary life you want on top. That line is yours to draw, and it is the line ELCI's score defends. A plan is judged by whether the essentials hold in every simulated life and how much comfortable living gets funded above them.

A planner who adjusts

The default policy works like an annual checkup: once a year it looks at how funded the plan is and sets the year's discretionary spending accordingly, easing back through lean stretches and spending confidently when the plan is ahead. It behaves the way a prudent planner would, because a retirement plan isn't a set of handcuffs. The protocol is simple enough to run by hand, and it has its own page: the annual checkup.

Prefer different rules? A continuous behavioral dial is in there too, and so is spending your full target every month with no adjustments at all, if that is the plan you want scored.

Stacked annual spending for one simulated couple over 30 years: essentials, adaptive discretionary, home-care episodes in years ten, eleven, and sixteen, and a smaller surviving household after year 17
Thirty years of one simulated couple: discretionary bends with the market, home care arrives in episodes (years ten and eleven, then again just before one spouse dies around year 17), and the surviving household spends less. All of it decided month by month inside the simulation.

It files your taxes. All of them.

Every simulated year the engine does the accounting a real retirement requires: federal brackets, the taxable share of Social Security, capital gains against your actual cost basis, payroll tax on any work income, an additional income-tax rate you set, and required minimum distributions, with withdrawals drawn across brokerage, traditional, and Roth accounts. Taxes are paid month by month, inside every simulated life.

Benefits, timed like a planner would time them

Social Security claiming is chosen inside each life: normally delayed to 70 for the maximum benefit, claimed as early as 62 if spending runs tight or health turns, with the benefit adjusted for the age it starts. Work while claiming early and the earnings test withholds benefits, then repays them after full retirement age, the way the real rules do. Before Medicare, the engine prices real health coverage, including marketplace premiums and the subsidies your simulated income actually qualifies for; after 65 it pays Medicare's premiums and out-of-pocket costs.

Care costs flow through

When LifePath puts a life into home care, assisted living, or a nursing facility, the planner pays for it: facility costs at the intensity that life requires, supervision for dementia at home, all offset by long-term care insurance if the plan carries it. Short episodes ride Medicare and supplement coverage; care that lasts past three months becomes the plan’s to fund, the same line where a long-term care policy’s waiting period ends, and the same moment the planner sits down and redoes the checkup. The expensive years arrive in the simulation the way they arrive in life, unevenly and sometimes all at once, and the plan is scored on how it carries them.

What those prices are, and why ELCI's lifetime totals run higher than other figures you may have seen, has its own paper: how ELCI prices long-term care.

ELCI
Spending is where a market path and a health path become a lived life. ELCI scores every month of it: how comfortably each simulated life got lived, across all thousand of them. Read the full Spending Engine white paper
See your score →Keep reading: MarketPath · LifePath · ELCI